Consider the following plots of daily deaths (you could look at "new cases," but with testing increasing there could be drift in what that figure represents).
As we watch the UK and US we see and even slower decline and higher terrace. I think we are more stubborn and drive around more.
The model continues to show a quick drop that just isn't going to happen. People are starting to move about more. Businesses are opening because they feel they must. Restrictions will soon be eased.
My guess? I believe we are going to be above 30% of the peak death rate for at least 3 months. My crystal ball only goes that far. The plus is that herd immunity will increase a bit faster, but at current and even steady infection rates, that will take more than a year.
Keep your head down, if you are older, like me.